Estanciano vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 3
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
LAG
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 3
EST
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EST
4 - 2
BOC
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 2
EST
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 1
BOQ
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
LAG
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
LAG
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 2
AMA
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |