Estanciano vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
PAR
10%
21%
69%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
BOC
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SER
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
33%
28%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
ITA
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 2
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |