Estanciano vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
5 - 3
EST
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
32%
29%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 2
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 0
CON
80%
15%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
DOR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |