Sergipano Final
Global 0-5
Estanciano vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 2
EST
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
SOC
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 1
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
SOC
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
69%
20%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |