Estanciano vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
CON
15%
23%
62%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
5 - 3
EST
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
32%
29%
40%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BOC
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ITA
27%
28%
45%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
DOR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |