Estanciano vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SER
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CRB
0 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
DOR
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 2
CON
14%
23%
63%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 0
BOC
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 2
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 0
SER
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SOC
3 - 0
BOC
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |