Estanciano vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 1
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
AMA
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TRE
4 - 0
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
DOR
34%
23%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
0 - 0
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BOQ
1 - 0
BOC
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 1
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |