Estanciano vs Botafogo ASF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SDJ
0 - 3
EST
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AME
0 - 2
EST
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
AME
25%
22%
54%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 0
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
AME
27%
22%
52%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ABS
1 - 0
SDJ
16%
17%
67%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 0
ABS
72%
17%
12%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
SDJ
4 - 3
ABS
77%
15%
9%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ABS
1 - 4
OSE
13%
18%
69%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ABS
0 - 3
EST
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |