Estanciano vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 0
EST
33%
23%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
COR
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 1
ALE
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 0
CRB
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 0
GLO
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
CRB
3 - 1
ARN
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |