Estanciano vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 2
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
OSE
1 - 2
EST
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
SOC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 2
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PIR
5 - 0
AMA
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 0
LAG
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
OSE
1 - 0
AMA
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 1
ITA
21%
26%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |