Estanciano vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SER
4 - 1
EST
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
EST
9%
15%
75%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
CON
15%
23%
62%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
5 - 3
EST
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 2
DOR
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
AFP
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
2 - 2
AMA
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |