USA U23 vs Japan U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
24%
21%
55%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 2
USA
41%
23%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
GUI
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 6 | 53 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
USA
23%
21%
56%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
IRQ
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
24%
21%
55%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 0
IRQ
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
JPN
2 - 0
UKR
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 3
MLI
81%
13%
7%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
JPN
0 - 0
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |