USA U23 vs Guinea U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
2.6%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+198%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NZL
1 - 4
USA
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
USA
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
USA
46%
23%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
23%
41%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
GUI
90%
8%
2%
|
8 | 63 | 55 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
NZL
5%
15%
80%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
0 - 1
GUI
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 71 | 64 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 1
GUI
89%
9%
2%
|
5 | 45 | 40 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
GUI
81%
13%
6%
|
6 | 59 | 53 | -1 |