USA U23 vs Guinea U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
USA
23%
21%
56%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
IRQ
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
USA
4 - 1
JPN
23%
21%
56%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
USA
2 - 1
MEX
23%
23%
55%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
HND
2 - 1
USA
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |