USA U20 vs Germany U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
USA
2 - 0
AUS
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 1
USA
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 1
USA
32%
24%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
EGY
0 - 1
USA
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
USA
0 - 3
CRC
49%
24%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GER
6 - 1
RSA
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
GER
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
GER
5 - 0
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SUI
2 - 0
GER
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
AUT
2 - 1
GER
28%
24%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |