USA U20 vs Germany U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ARG
0 - 1
USA
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
USA
2 - 0
CRC
47%
23%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
USA
2 - 0
PAN
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
USA
6 - 1
TTO
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
USA
1 - 2
ARG
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
GER
2 - 0
EGY
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2005 |
GER
2 - 3
CHI
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
GER
2 - 2
CHN
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
GER
2 - 2
SUI
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
AUT
0 - 1
GER
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |