Estación vs Palillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
VTO
2 - 5
EST
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BSY
1 - 3
EST
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
33%
22%
46%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CIV
1 - 1
EST
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
FRU
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAL
5 - 0
CAR
37%
21%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 3
FRU
48%
21%
31%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CIV
5 - 2
PAL
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ART
1 - 5
PAL
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GAF
0 - 2
PAL
79%
12%
10%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |