Estación vs Castellnou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
52.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+354%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
EST
3 - 0
VTO
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GAF
2 - 2
EST
69%
15%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
PAL
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FON
2 - 4
EST
54%
20%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
BAL
56%
19%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castellnou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 4
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
9 - 0
ACE
89%
7%
4%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 1
VTO
83%
11%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
GAF
62%
17%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 4
CAS
39%
20%
41%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |