Esportivo BG vs São Luiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 3
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 1
ESP
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 3
SAP
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 2
SLU
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SLU
4 - 1
GUA
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
VER
3 - 1
SLU
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
SLU
2 - 2
ISM
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ECS
1 - 1
SLU
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |