Esportivo BG vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 0
ESP
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAX
3 - 1
ESP
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 2
GRE
12%
23%
66%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 1
BRA
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
AIM
0 - 0
ESP
43%
27%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
SCI
10%
25%
65%
|
50 | 88 | 38 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 0
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
11%
19%
70%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
YPI
3 - 1
NOV
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |