Esportivo BG vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
ESP
90%
8%
2%
|
38 | 84 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 3
ISM
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 1
JUV
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 4
ECA
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
0 - 0
YPI
59%
21%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
NOV
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
ECA
1 - 2
NOV
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
ISM
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |