Esportivo BG vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
67.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SLU
3 - 0
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 1
ESP
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 2
NOV
28%
26%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAX
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
ESP
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
VER
78%
16%
6%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
GRE
11%
22%
67%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |