Esportivo BG vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 2
CAN
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 2
ISM
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
4 - 0
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 6
SCI
6%
15%
79%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
ECA
1 - 3
ECS
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ECS
2 - 2
JUV
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ECS
1 - 0
LON
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LON
3 - 1
ECS
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ECS
2 - 4
BRU
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |