Esportivo BG vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
YPI
3 - 2
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 2
SCI
6%
14%
80%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SLU
4 - 1
ESP
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 3
VER
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PEL
5 - 0
ESP
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
ECA
1 - 3
GRE
9%
17%
74%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ECA
2 - 2
CAX
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 1
ECA
94%
5%
1%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ECA
0 - 1
PEL
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
3 - 2
ECA
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |