Esportivo BG vs Ceramica AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
PEL
1 - 3
ESP
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 2
GRE
8%
18%
74%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
PAS
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 2
ESP
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
PAS
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ceramica AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CAC
1 - 2
SCI
10%
21%
70%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 0
MOG
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
0 - 2
CAC
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 0
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |