Esportivo BG vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
5 - 0
ESP
85%
12%
3%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ESP
4 - 3
AIM
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
ECS
1 - 1
ESP
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 1
ESP
70%
20%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 1
BOT
14%
23%
63%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
BRA
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
AIM
0 - 1
CAX
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 1
ECS
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAX
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | +2 |