Esportivo BG vs Brasil Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 1
ESP
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 1
URS
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
VER
1 - 0
ESP
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 1
ESP
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
GAU
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
GAU
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GLO
3 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 1
BRA
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 2
PAS
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
URS
0 - 1
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |