Esportivo BG vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
ECA
3 - 1
ESP
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 2
JUV
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
ESP
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
ESP
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 7
SCI
8%
19%
73%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
ISM
3 - 2
BRA
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 5
CAN
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
BRA
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 83 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 3
YPI
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |