Esporles vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esporles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 0
STA
63%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
ESP
48%
22%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALG
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 1
ESP
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
4 - 1
SPO
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 3
SAM
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
3 - 4
MUR
74%
15%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
SVE
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
MUR
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
XIL
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |