Esporles vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esporles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SRF
3 - 0
ESP
69%
19%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 4
IBI
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FLN
2 - 0
ESP
78%
15%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 1
PBL
6%
14%
80%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ESP
3 - 4
LLO
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FER
4 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SDF
2 - 1
FER
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
STA
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CFP
0 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MLL
1 - 0
FER
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |