Espoir FC vs AS Kigali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
16º
16º
47
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoir FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 0
ESP
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 0
ESP
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ETI
2 - 0
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
BUG
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
ETI
2 - 2
ASK
46%
28%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ASK
2 - 2
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GFC
0 - 1
ASK
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 2
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RWA
1 - 0
ASK
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |