Esplus CD vs Peña Ferranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esplus CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
EST
5 - 2
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 3
PFR
12%
17%
71%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 0
ESP
62%
19%
20%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 3
VAL
38%
23%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BOL
3 - 1
ESP
39%
22%
39%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Ferranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
PEN
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 0
PEN
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 1
BIN
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BIE
5 - 1
PEN
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -2 |