Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 1-3
Espirito Santo vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espirito Santo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
ESP
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
AUD
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
ESP
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
BOA
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 0
ESP
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
JMA
1 - 1
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 2
JMA
33%
26%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 0
BRU
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
BRU
2 - 0
JMA
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
JMA
2 - 0
MAD
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |