Espirito Santo vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espirito Santo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
URT
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
REA
4 - 2
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 2
REA
30%
26%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
4 - 1
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
URT
2 - 0
ITU
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 2
MAC
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
APA
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
ITU
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |