Espirito Santo vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
40.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espirito Santo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 2
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 0
RBB
18%
27%
55%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
0 - 0
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 0
DOZ
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 0
RIO
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
RBB
3 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
BOA
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATM
8%
19%
73%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAL
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
DEM
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |