Espinho vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 0
ESP
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
ESP
3 - 2
SCP
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
VIT
3 - 0
ESP
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAR
56%
26%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
ACV
0 - 0
ESP
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
VST
1 - 0
UDL
64%
19%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
VST
0 - 0
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
VST
3 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |