Espinho vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 1
FAF
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
PEN
2 - 0
ESP
45%
30%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
ESP
2 - 2
BOA
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
SCP
3 - 1
ESP
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
ESP
2 - 1
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 1
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
BOA
0 - 1
VIT
54%
25%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 0
SCP
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 0
VST
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |