Espinho vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 0
ESP
15%
23%
61%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
GON
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 0
ESP
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAS
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
ESP
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LUS
4 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 6
FCP
6%
18%
76%
|
38 | 87 | 49 | -1 |