Espinho vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
ESP
4 - 1
SPB
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
SCP
1 - 0
ESP
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
ESP
0 - 1
POR
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
GDA
3 - 0
ESP
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 1
AMO
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
VAR
3 - 2
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
SPB
3 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIT
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |