Espinho vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 0
ESP
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
FCP
4 - 0
ESP
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
ACA
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
OLH
2 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
31%
30%
40%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
VAR
3 - 1
BOA
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
LEX
1 - 0
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
EST
1 - 1
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 1
POR
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |