Espinho vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 0
POR
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
SLB
5 - 1
ESP
87%
10%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 0
BOA
41%
30%
30%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 0
FCP
18%
29%
53%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
PEN
2 - 0
ESP
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
PEN
3 - 1
UDL
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1982 |
UDL
0 - 0
VST
46%
28%
27%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
SPB
3 - 1
UDL
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
UDL
1 - 1
ACV
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 0
UDL
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |