Espinho vs Sporting Mêda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
12%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PED
1 - 0
ESP
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 0
ESP
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 0
GON
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Mêda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 3
AMA
6%
13%
81%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CES
1 - 0
SPO
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 4
LUS
9%
17%
75%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RDA
3 - 1
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 5
GON
8%
15%
78%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |