Espinho vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
81.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 1
LUS
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 2
SOU
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SOB
2 - 1
ESP
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
ESP
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
PAÇ
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
SCP
4 - 2
S04
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SCP
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SCP
4 - 2
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
S04
4 - 3
SCP
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |