Espinho vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
2 - 0
ESP
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 5
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 1
BOA
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
POR
2 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 0
ESP
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 1
BOA
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPB
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
FAR
1 - 3
SPB
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |