Espinho vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 2
ACV
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 1
ESP
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 2
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
COI
74%
16%
9%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 1
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
ADN
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
BEN
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 1
OPE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
BEN
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |