Espinho vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
COI
1 - 1
ESP
17%
24%
59%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
GON
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
ESP
18%
24%
59%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
TON
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 3
ESP
17%
24%
59%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 2
COI
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
CIN
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GON
1 - 0
PAR
74%
18%
8%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
AMA
24%
23%
52%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |