Espinho vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
FAB
4 - 0
ESP
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
SLB
2 - 0
ESP
94%
4%
1%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 6
BOA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
LEX
1 - 0
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 0
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
ORI
0 - 0
BOA
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
LEX
2 - 1
ORI
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
ORI
1 - 1
FAR
43%
29%
29%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
UFT
3 - 0
ORI
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 0
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |