Espinho vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
ESP
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
CES
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
ESP
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 0
ANA
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
ESP
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
4 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 1
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 1
SAO
45%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ACV
2 - 0
OPE
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |