Espinho vs Moimenta da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
ESP
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 1
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 0
SOB
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOI
2 - 2
ESP
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 1
GON
32%
25%
44%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 1
COI
29%
23%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 0
MOI
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
GON
1 - 0
MOI
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOI
2 - 2
ESP
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |