Espinho vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 4
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BMA
1 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
VCO
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 3
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BMA
2 - 1
LUS
78%
14%
7%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LUS
4 - 2
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
LUS
70%
19%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
LUS
20%
24%
57%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |